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Journal of Applied Sciences and Environmental Management
World Bank assisted National Agricultural Research Project (NARP) - University of Port Harcourt
ISSN: 1119-8362
Vol. 16, No. 1, 2012, pp. 95-101
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Bioline Code: ja12015
Full paper language: English
Document type: Research Article
Document available free of charge
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Journal of Applied Sciences and Environmental Management, Vol. 16, No. 1, 2012, pp. 95-101
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Delphi Fuzzy Elicitation Technique in the Determination of Third Party Failure Probability of Onshore Transmission Pipeline in the Niger Delta region of Nigeria
Ariavie, G.O. & Ovuworie, G.C.
Abstract
The Delphi technique via the expert elicitation method becomes extremely handy particularly
in view of limited availability of data in determining failure probabilities of onshore transmission pipelines in the
Niger Delta region of Nigeria occasioned by third party activity. Using, ten (10) experts opinion elucidated
individually via email questionnaires and summarizing their responses in linguistic languages expression that
were converted into failure probabilities for twelve (12) identified third part activities in the Niger Delta region of
Nigeria using Fuzzy Set Theory tools. The results show that the neglect by government has the highest
probability of failure of 0.1698200.
Keywords
Delphi technique, onshore transmission pipeline, Fuzzy set theory, third party activities,
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© Copyright 2012 - Journal of Applied Sciences and Environmental Management
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