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Journal of Applied Sciences and Environmental Management
World Bank assisted National Agricultural Research Project (NARP) - University of Port Harcourt
ISSN: 1119-8362
Vol. 24, No. 5, 2020, pp. 789-798
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Bioline Code: ja20113
Full paper language: English
Document type: Research Article
Document available free of charge
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Journal of Applied Sciences and Environmental Management, Vol. 24, No. 5, 2020, pp. 789-798
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Analysis of a Malaria Transmission Model in Children
EGUDA, FY; OCHEME, AC; SULE, MM; ANDRAWUS, J & BABURA, IB
Abstract
In this paper, a nine compartmental model for malaria transmission in children was developed
and a threshold parameter called control reproduction number which is known to be a vital threshold quantity in
controlling the spread of malaria was derived. The model has a disease free equilibrium which is locally
asymptotically stable if the control reproduction number is less than one and an endemic equilibrium point which is
also locally asymptotically stable if the control reproduction number is greater than one. The model undergoes a
backward bifurcation which is caused by loss of acquired immunity of recovered children and the rate at which
exposed children progress to the mild stage of infection.
Keywords
Malaria; Model; Backward Bifurcation; Local Stability
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© Copyright 2020 - Eguda et al.
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